My Obama Prevarication Predictor says that whenever a consensus develops that poses an obstacle to something Obama wants, within 72 hours he will say whatever the group blocking him wants to hear but with no intention of actually delivering on what he says, but rather the intention of getting his opponents to relax, stop paying attention and disperse so he can do what he wants.
In September, the Democrats in Congress told the gay community that now is not a good time for them to repeal “don’t ask, don’t tell” (DADT) and the “Defense of Marriage Act” (DOMA) or to pass ENDA (the federal Employment Non-Discrimination Act: gays have no federal protection against employment discrimination and little protection at the state level). Despite having a Democratic president and commanding majorities in both the House and Senate, they said that “never” looks good to them instead. Obama seems to approve of that timetable, despite his campaign promises to repeal both DOMA and DADT.
So, right on schedule according to the Obama Prevarication Predictor, Obama is slated to speak at a dinner organized by the Human Rights Campaign on Saturday, Oct. 10. While Obama has been rumored to have cruised gay bars for quickie sex in Chicago when he was a state senator, that is not the kind of contact that would help him understand the lesbian and gay community. He sat in Rev. Wright’s gay-hating church for 20 years. And HillBuzz reports that unlike other Illinois Democrats, including Hillary Clinton, Obama has NEVER marched in a Gay Pride parade. I guarantee you that no matter how much he may think he has followed Saul Alinsky’s rule to know your marks and what they want to hear, Obama does NOT understand this crowd. And he does NOT want to tell them what they want to hear.
Because lesbians and gays really are second-class citizens who must work for equality all the time, a very high percentage of us are activists. And, because the government has never been our friend, we do not look to the government for answers or wait for the government to solve our problems. The only thing we want is for government itself to stop making itself our problem with laws like DOMA and DADT that force us into second-class citizenship.
And we want that right now, since lesbians and gays put a lot of money, sacrifice and hard work into electing that Democratic majority in Congress and a Democratic president. Because of the very high level of political involvement and activism in the homosexual community, a critical mass of people KNOW that it’s now or never.
So I’m expecting Obama to try to placate his HRC audience with grand promises that have artfully-expressed escape clauses. He will try to make them think they will be getting a loaf of bread, when all he’ll really deliver is crumbs. Oh, and while the REAL obstacle to homosexual equality is the religious Left — black churches and the Latin and pro-illegal-immigrant Catholic Church — I predict Obama will demonize the religious Right and blame them for his intransigence and paralysis.
What has Obama worried is the reality that gays will stop working and stop donating — the expression is shutting down the “GayTM” (ATM, automated teller machine). This already happened in June, when major gay donors dropped out of a fundraiser. Obama responded by saying he would sign an order giving federal employees who were gay all sorts of rights, as long as they were legal under DOMA — his lawyerly escape clause. The list gays were told they could receive was very long. But, oops! so sorry! about the only item on the list that was legal under DOMA was leave to care for a sick life partner.
I’m also expecting that Obama will not do any better with the HRC than he did in Copenhagen pitching Chicago for the Olympics. He doesn’t know the crowd. And this crowd is going to cut through his bumper sticker oratory, his gaslighting and befogging and lawyerly parsing of his promises — and if he does not say what they want to hear, do what they want him to do and do it on their timetable — all of which I think are very reasonable — then the GayTM will be closed and gays and lesbians will be out on strike forthwith. If the gay and lesbian leadership is smart and Obama makes promises with deadlines are farther in the future than Oct. 14, they will tell Obama that homosexuals will withhold their money and labor until DOMA and DADT are repealed and ENDA is passed and signed into law.